Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.458296 1.824405 2.318579 3.065995 4.232974e+00 6.123816 9.804724
2025-10-19 0.995380 1.365444 1.948229 3.033129 5.321016e+00 11.193930 38.422918
2025-10-26 0.764439 1.101576 1.680396 2.905824 6.113253e+00 18.721883 308.283028
2025-11-02 0.648860 0.972463 1.568963 2.983863 7.579998e+00 39.343040 NaN
2025-11-09 0.576627 0.893340 1.514284 3.150569 9.818842e+00 122.136357 NaN
2025-11-16 0.510820 0.808852 1.417928 3.147248 1.159028e+01 528.278384 NaN
2025-11-23 0.452102 0.725671 1.299599 3.010693 1.251782e+01 5781.887449 NaN
2025-11-30 0.421255 0.690408 1.278593 3.176206 1.646632e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.388506 0.645568 1.222912 3.190900 1.971949e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.356071 0.596601 1.145876 3.083581 2.150075e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.330870 0.559395 1.090847 3.039044 2.454125e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.322313 0.556071 1.122692 3.396956 4.134240e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.308338 0.539601 1.117053 3.597795 6.460554e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.290003 0.511297 1.072544 3.574192 8.268367e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.270653 0.478675 1.009755 3.414714 8.913397e+01 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.259112 0.462621 0.992736 3.514267 1.417506e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.250757 0.452924 0.992812 3.727324 3.215224e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.239193 0.434491 0.962466 3.723074 5.512182e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.225873 0.410758 0.911807 3.548509 5.981055e+02 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.219860 0.403888 0.913760 3.760215 4.278035e+03 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.211410 0.390360 0.891785 3.779076 1.239281e+05 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.201509 0.372542 0.853109 3.641569 7.507065e+09 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.193441 0.358649 0.825792 3.584675 NaN NaN NaN